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Macro and capital markets, Portfolio construction, Real estate performance, Sector outlooks

ISA 2020

January 13, 2019
The city as seen through the lens
  • In the 26th edition of the Investment Strategy Annual, we address the five themes that will shape the real estate investment environment for at least the next three years and likely longer. Some assets and strategies amplify these trends and will deliver “high beta”, others are much more insulated from all the noise and should be considered “low beta”.

    Mastering the simultaneous need for fast/intuitive and slow/careful thinking becomes an important skill to develop in the speeding-up world of real estate, in a slowing-down economy. We review techniques to help investors determine portfolio objectives. We present our outlook for the property types and countries that are the most attractive. We share our best investment ideas.

    Our macro outlook for 2020 indicates that the global economy will be slowing, which means that rent growth, leasing and other drivers of real estate income could downshift to a lower gear. Yet, slow growth means that interest rates could also stay low and contribute to elevated asset valuations.

The appearance of Covid cells
Mar 31, 2020 Impact of Covid-19 on European real estate Coronavirus pandemic has hit Europe particularly hard. Expect recession in most countries during 2020, possibly with U-shaped recovery in Q4 2020/Q1 2021.
The city in the evening time
Mar 18, 2020 Preliminary observations on the potential impact of Covid-19 on Asia Pacific real estate Premature to determine the precise impact until the containment of the outbreak worldwide
Mar 16, 2020 Searching for safety The COVID-19 epidemic has grown more severe by several orders of magnitude over the past month. With more than 84,000 cases globally[1] ,it is now ten times larger than the SARS epidemic and has spread beyond China to more than 50 other countries.

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